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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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Google wanted to get into the hardware business, tried hard at it and failed. This is their second attempt. This is also the standard Google modus operandi: they always first try to enter new markets using internal resources, usually fail, and then go on to buy some second-best competitor as a second attempt. Look over the history of Google acquisitions and you'll see that I'm right. Bottom line -- HTC, Samsung and ZTE are the losers here. Google just sent them a very clear and very offensive middle finger. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Google did NOT give their Android partners the finger. They gave them a big umbrella to protect them from storm of patent lawsuits and fees. The deal only strengthens Android's overall position. That has to be good news for anyone selling Android devices. IOW, if you sell Android what's good for Android is good for you.
The only negative for HTC, Samsung etc. is of course Moto is overnight a stronger competitor. But doubtful it will suddenly make Moto a sales monster. And doubtful HTC or Samsung are particularly scared of Moto. An increase in Moto sales will likely be at the expense of RIM or WP7 more than other Android vendors. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
It will if google decides to differentiate the UI/Features on their Motorola phones, something no other manufacturer can do(sense is just a lame UI skin).
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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The global mobile business is impossible to predict. Judging manufacturers based on how well they predict the future is equally stupid. However, some general predictions can be made, like WP will be succesful, MS will not purchase Nokia and that I, along with several millions, will purchase the N9 and be a happy bunch. These predictions can be made because they do not involve future fantasies and immature fanboy feelings, only facts. |
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But seriously, there are medications to help that cognitive dissonance and self-delusion. Maybe. |
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In the end, Android is not an open system anymore. Of course that is bad for HTC and Samsung. Also, 'patents' are a ridiculous red herring for keeping clueless people confused. Patents have nothing to do with anything. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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Now Google can compete with Apple on the profit margin and marketing fronts, while still locking in third-party manufacturers like HTC and Samsung into their ridiculous Android 'ecosystem'. Obviously Google thinks they have HTC and Samsung by the balls, in that HTC and Samsung are now entrenched, trapped with Android. I wonder what HTC's and Samsung's next move will be. (Bada?) They must be furiously thinking right now. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
It is unbelievable to see all this change in the mobile industry and Nokia is nowhere near it, but on the contrary there's talk about them being bought. I bet future managment students will bang their heads on their desks when examining this case. How to go from market leader to absolutely irelevant in less then a year. Seriously unbelievable
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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3. And Ericsson said, “Let there be Fact” and there was Fact. 4 Ericsson saw that the Fact was good, and he separated the Fact from the Fanbois. 5 And there was Truthiness, and there were Facts—the first dawn knowledge. |
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In the modern world there is no such thing as a 'patent'. 'Patents' are meaningless scrip that's used as ammunition for determining which corporate penis is larger in court. For 16 billion you can buy an awful amount of lawyers, enough to not care about 'patents' whatsoever. |
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Please be specific. Because I'm genuinely curious. |
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Though I still think our patent/copyright system is a mess that needs heavy reform. |
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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And best of all, it vindicates everyone who thought Amazon got a huge gift with that one-click purchase patent nonsense! Thank you. Truly, thank you for opening my eyes and hopefully the eyes of billions. But man-- we've got a LOT of legalism to unwind now! Time's a-wasting! And I hate KoolAde. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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Case in point: Take Nokia, for example... One of the only reasons they're still afloat is because they managed to succesfully sue Apple for a large ammount of cash, due to patent infringement, IIRC. Now, if this corporate phallic protuberance, while big enough to basically play the role of a functional third leg (since the other two were lost in the platform's fire) and keep a nearly dead company still on its, errr, glans, still ammounts to you to no more than a negligible form of business peacock tail, I should say you surely have an unique take on how big big is. |
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If you think patents are ridiculous go ahead and violate some and see how ridiculous your legal fees are. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Interesting take by Horace Dediu:
http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2011/08/goog...takes_dro.html "But a single point of focus is incorrect and misses a bigger point: The MMI purchase is the result of Google's miscalculations about the way value is captured in mobile computing. These strategic missteps placed Google in a position of weakness and forced it into a costly and desperate move." I agree with Horace on this. This, together with a price of close to $ 40 (Cap plus 65% as with MMI sale to Google) Billion makes it highly unlikely MS will buy Nokia. What would they gain? It would be a defensive move if someone else wants to buy Nokia, but then who would? MS is in a position of weakness because of current limited market share, not because their business model is flawed, so buying Nokia solves exactly nothing for them. |
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
I seem to recall the rumors about Microsoft acquiring Nokia some months back boiled down to an agreement they came to regarding such an event.
Specifically, it says that if a company offers to acquire Nokia, Microsoft is allowed to match it. If the offer from Microsoft and the other company match, Nokia has to accept Microsoft's offer. This is in place just in case someone does come along and tries to snipe Microsoft's plans. And no, I don't think MS will buy Nokia. My conjecture regarding their plans is to ensure that if things go badly, Nokia eats most of the losses instead of Microsoft. That would be defeated if Microsoft took ownership of the company. |
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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But I'm still curious about your reasoning. I still don't see anything that conclusively rules out a Microsoft purchase of Nokia. Of course for most if not all of us here the arguments come down largely to personal opinion... |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
It's not that buying Nokia solves MS probems in the mobile arena. It's that buying Nokia prevents bigger problems. A kinda defensive/offensive move, depending on which way you look at it. Bottom line - MS simply CANNOT at almost any cost allow anyone else to buy Nokia.
And who else would? Obvious candidate is Intel. They have deep pockets and with their Intel/Nokia/MeeGo strategy sabatoged by the Elopalypse no doubt Ballmer & Co. is not on their party invite list anymore. And that failure also means they are struggling as much as MS to stay relevent in the very mobile future. Both companies need a win badly for their team and Nokia is the biggest free agent available to boost the roster. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Regarding MS: Nokia owns Qt. I'm not sure how much of a threat that framework might pose, but if certain claims are not exaggerated, I'm afraid MS might be interested in storing that particular piece of programming on a very dark and dusty attic. And that's just one reason.
If we consider the acquisition for a more defensive reason, ok, I'm gonna give my thoughts room to play, so this might sound mighty paranoid: The N900, while not fully open, is still the openmost mobile platform I have ever heard of. We've (as a community) OC'd it, we've modified it, we've bricked many times, we've added features that Nokia had no plans of. The phone improved WAY beyond its state upon launch. Much of this stems from its openness; while not fully customisable due to binary blobs, its still very flexible. Now, here's the thing... Not only did the N900 run a very customisable quasi-open source OS, as it introduce a few of its users to linux. And guess what... While very complex if one was to dig into its guts, the phone was still plain easy to use. One could very well take that experience and through it realise that linux isn't some arcane piece of software that takes a hedge wizard to tame and use. As said, tin foil hat time, and I might be wrong or otherwise might have simply incorrectly evaluated a few points... But assume that Linux actually spreads due to its adoption by a handset company. Maybe it makes sense to actually try to take such company down, or otherwise simply buy it. Also, Intel is mostly a hardware company: It's business model is/would/will be hardware-centric, I assume, so they probably don't care as much about controlling its software than as to spreading it as much as they can, along with their CPUs. It's the FOSS spread scenario all over again, which surely could drive MS to acquire Nokia for this fact alone. Or so I would guess, wildly. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Good points Crashdamage. It would be interesting to see what unfolds if ANY company even shows a tiny bit of interest in Nokia now...
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Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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IOW a play for Nokia is a nightmare for M$. They don't want to buy it but they might have to. I'd put the screws to M$ if I were Intel. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Just to play devil's advocate for the outright naysayers...
Consider that when the Microsoft-Nokia partnership was announced it looked like Nokia was being reduced to an OEM. No one can be blamed for arriving at that conclusion. But then to find out that Nokia will be using Compal as the actual producer for their WP devices has to result in a lot of head scratching. Those unfamiliar with the cell phone business could be forgiven for asking why Microsoft did not just go directly to Compal. The short answer is mobile expertise. Nokia has it, Microsoft not so much. Despite a bizarre claim here negating the very existence of patents (:rolleyes:), they also play a large part in Microsoft's original decision. BUT-- Does Microsoft need Nokia as a company, or mainly that expertise? Employees are assets, too, as much as I hate to reduce humans to that term. So, really, all Microsoft needs from Nokia is patents plus people. No infrastructure. Not even a brand when it comes down to it. Nokia's channels could still prove useful, but even those are eroding. Regardless, as one confused poster put it (and in this case rightfully), it's impossible to completely predict the mobile space these days-- with the exception that change, often drastic, is inevitable. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
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Another case - your get an equal number of shares for both divisions, and after sale - one kind of share is reimbursed or replaced by buyer share in accordance with sale price ratio. |
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Google may be a nice uncle right now, in words at least. They are a software company and may actually be naive enough to see the acquisition of Motorola as a way of strengthening Android for all I know. But as soon as they get a taste of the raw power and possibilities that the acquisition gives them, they will stop being a nice uncle, it's a law of nature. Nokia had no idea how to run their software business, and it nearly killed them. Microsoft knows how to do this, better than anyone. By teaming up they become stronger than by merging because it is the combined effort, the ecosystem, that is the goal. To reach that goal they need Samsung, LG, HTC and others to play along with them. They will also take part in the fruits of that ecosystem, because it is an open ecosystem, not closed as the Apple ecosystem, or one sided as Android where you have Google on one side and OEM on the other. Anyway, if you think I'm full of nonsense, just remember it is a relative thing. I don't really care, and the view is way too cluttered and foggy for me to convince anyone to "see the light" if they refuse to accept the simple facts of reality. Nokia-MS may fail, but IMO that possibility is close to zero. They have both already done their share of mistakes, tons of them, and are not likely to do them again, at least not within a 5-10 years time frame. And Microsoft will not purchase Nokia. |
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Re-read what I wrote. I did not say Nokia's patents are eroding. You're welcome. |
Re: Google buying Motorola - now will MS buy Nokia?
Why would an American company wanna buy nokia, when they have absolutely no presence in USA
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You might as well ask "Why is Nokia investing so heavily in the US, when they have absolutely no presence there?" |
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