Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

http://gigaom.com/2009/09/24/iphone-...y-the-numbers/

Time waster thread of the day, I guess.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Ah, statistics.

If I eat two roast beefs, and you eat none, according to statistics, each one of us ate one. The magic of numbers.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Heh-- I know you're being facetious, or at least I hope you are, because that's a well known statistical farce. The implication is correlation where none truly exists. But yeah, still funny in an antipedantic way. :D

Oh, and that chart is misleading: the decline is in units sold, not market share. tsk tsk.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Staring purely on percentages on that chart is useless anyway. Lets see how Apple sells when it has as many models on the market as Nokia has now....

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

I have started a small blog. Analytics sees about 600% increase in visitors because it went from 1-2 per day to about 7-8 per day. I bet cnn.com should be threatened because my market share increases much faster than their ...

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Based on your statement, your market share isn't actually increasing all that fast. Your visitor count increased percentage-wise a great deal.

Same thing with Nokia sold units vs. Apple sold units. Even if either one sold 1 billion units, they would never reach 100% market share (with that amount, would be darn close tho :))

People stare too much on percentages, that's what I think.

I could be gravely mistaken, but am I?

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

The problem is not with the smaller player growing but with the big ones moving up or down by a lot!

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Now that makes lot more sense already. And without any numbers :)

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

The Force is strong with this one. :D

Re: Nokia?s Troubles By The Numbers
 

This table is so wrong on so many accounts, I will try to cover most important.

1. In 2q08 iPhone sales flatlined completely. Some even predicted end of iPhone but it was everyone waiting for second generation. Also after that quarter Apple product became officially available globally. This sales jump came in most part from international sales. And this also explains why Nokia is lukewarm about US - it is global game. Success at all costs in US isn't so impotrant like still US-centered internet likes to think.
2. How 'smartphones' are counted? With width and breadth of Nokia's offering isn't it possible that middle level phones are becoming 'good enough' to replace previous top of the line (especially in times of crisis)?

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

The slide in Nokia World showing the combine selling of the 5800 and N97 on 10 millions should have given people a clue. But some are clue-proof.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

I can give an even better clue: my wife who has no idea whatever about mobile technology wants a new phone. Yesterday, she goes to the local Orange shop. Comes back home all excited and wants to buy a...N97! :-)

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Warning: this is biased to the US market...

The problem is not what Nokias phone are able to do, it is how they are percieved. Nokia is not seen as being innovative. They do a piss poor job of marketing themselves, apple on the other hand does a brilliant job. They are probably the best marketing company other there right now. Somehow they managed to make 'cut and paste' new and innovative.

The US, which for good or bad drives global pop culture, Nokia is regarded as a provider of cheap,low-end, low-function phones with minimal cache. If you want a mid-high end phone from nokia you have to pay multiples of what it costs for a similarly speced HTC, LG, Motorolla, Apple phone.

The well it is unsubsidized argument is dead and stupid to consider in the US. The facts are:
- There is a financial penalty to a consumer who gets an unlocked phone.
- consumers do not know that a subsidized phone may have its functionality castrated, and assume that is just how the device works.

If Nokia refuses to get into bed with US carriers and gather some mindshare they will fail.

People who state that apple does not compete in the business world... well thats changing and quickly. you get all your corporate email on your iphone and you get your salesforce.com etc.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

no kidding...

sorry to disappoint you, but people outside the US could care less what her pop culture considers "in".

you're blaming the manufacturers for your sh*tty telcom regulations? if nokia would have listened to you, and bowed down before US carriers, there would be no n900.

matter of fact is: the US has one of the world's worst carrier systems. i didn't realize how bad it really is until i started reading this forum regularly. you should stand up and demand better regulations. that would lead to more competition and lower prices, and a weaker carrier-lock-in.

ranting about nokia not willing to give in is just useless and dangerous, because it means you have given up trying to change something where it _really_ matters.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

Since I split my time between the US (70%) and W. Europe (30%)I would disgree

I think you are wrong on the n900. Explain what you mean?

I don't disagree on the carriers. I have written my local federal reps as well as different telco's. I have demanded and their reaction has been less than fulfilling.

I dont see the danger any more than asking the telco's to change.

My other option is go with a different hardware provider, which i may end up if the ones I want are either inaccessible or unavailable.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

That's exactly what I meant.

You could state that my market share increased by 600% of the original 0. And than make a table putting me on top. :) That's exactly what I wanted to point out: a few million devices as oposed to none is a much bigger growth than a few tens of millions after tens of millions

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

In general, regulations reduce competition. They tend to result in each market player "barely meeting the minimum regulations" rather than differentiating themselves.

The solution is consumer education which leads to consumer empowerment.

To the extent that Nokia gets into bed with carriers, they just perpetuate the rotten system.

I'd prefer to see Nokia buying advertising time to explain to consumers why buying a locked crippled device is not always the brightest thing to do ("smart people buy unlocked"). The next round of ads could spotlight unlocked Nokia devices (from the cheapest $20 handset to the N900).

Regards,
Roger

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

maybe you're hanging out with the wrong people ;) (j/k)
seriously, i was referring to apple's massive marketing campaigns, which certainly haven't had much effect anywhere outside the US.

If Nokia wanted to please US carriers and make a big hit there, they certainly wouldn't have a mostly open-source OS on their flagship phone. nokia knowingly accepted that carrier subsidisation will be difficult, because they don't want to cripple maemo. and that's A Good Thing.


and that's exactly the problem. as long as telcos are under no pressure to change their behaviour (and the only one capable of forcing them is your legislative body), US consumers will continue to buy subsidized and heavily locked down, castrated devices with absurd monthly subscription fees.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

i stronlgy disagree.

it all depends on the actual regulations of course, but to give you an example:
since telcos were forced by austrian law to unlock any device you bought from them, competition has become far more intense, because now they have to price new subsidized phones even more aggressively.

but the most important thing for the US would be to consolidate 3G frequencies. that's IMHO the main reason for the market being so uncompetitive. if every carrier shared the same frequency-bands, customers would have a REAL choice. until then, they don't.

Re: Nokia’s Troubles By The Numbers
 

I also strongly disagree in this case. US telcos enjoy an extreme protection status not accorded to other industries. Regulation is the ONLY way, in such a scenario, to ensure truly fair competition. Yes, it's ironic and perhaps counterintuitive, but true nonetheless.

And consumer education/empowerment are also pointless given the circumstances.