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Banned | Posts: 974 | Thanked: 622 times | Joined on Oct 2010
#154
Originally Posted by Texrat View Post
Just to play devil's advocate for the outright naysayers...

Consider that when the Microsoft-Nokia partnership was announced it looked like Nokia was being reduced to an OEM. No one can be blamed for arriving at that conclusion.

But then to find out that Nokia will be using Compal as the actual producer for their WP devices has to result in a lot of head scratching. Those unfamiliar with the cell phone business could be forgiven for asking why Microsoft did not just go directly to Compal.

The short answer is mobile expertise. Nokia has it, Microsoft not so much. Despite a bizarre claim here negating the very existence of patents (), they also play a large part in Microsoft's original decision.

BUT--

Does Microsoft need Nokia as a company, or mainly that expertise?

Employees are assets, too, as much as I hate to reduce humans to that term. So, really, all Microsoft needs from Nokia is patents plus people. No infrastructure. Not even a brand when it comes down to it. Nokia's channels could still prove useful, but even those are eroding.

Regardless, as one confused poster put it (and in this case rightfully), it's impossible to completely predict the mobile space these days-- with the exception that change, often drastic, is inevitable.
Careful now, you may actually make some sense. Nokias patents are not eroding, they are being produced at a rapid rate as we speak. That ability to produce patents is really what it's all about. Lots of people want to buy Nokia, but the main investors must go completely mad to be willing to sell a chicken that lay golden eggs time after time after time. Nokia is very much like VW, solid to the core and with investors that are equally solid in mind and body.

Consider that when the Microsoft-Nokia partnership was announced it looked like Nokia was being reduced to an OEM. No one can be blamed for arriving at that conclusion.
Except for the fact that it is a braindead and wrong conclusion based on way too high regard for Microsoft and zero understanding of Nokia and the hardware business.

Google may be a nice uncle right now, in words at least. They are a software company and may actually be naive enough to see the acquisition of Motorola as a way of strengthening Android for all I know. But as soon as they get a taste of the raw power and possibilities that the acquisition gives them, they will stop being a nice uncle, it's a law of nature.

Nokia had no idea how to run their software business, and it nearly killed them. Microsoft knows how to do this, better than anyone. By teaming up they become stronger than by merging because it is the combined effort, the ecosystem, that is the goal. To reach that goal they need Samsung, LG, HTC and others to play along with them. They will also take part in the fruits of that ecosystem, because it is an open ecosystem, not closed as the Apple ecosystem, or one sided as Android where you have Google on one side and OEM on the other.

Anyway, if you think I'm full of nonsense, just remember it is a relative thing. I don't really care, and the view is way too cluttered and foggy for me to convince anyone to "see the light" if they refuse to accept the simple facts of reality. Nokia-MS may fail, but IMO that possibility is close to zero. They have both already done their share of mistakes, tons of them, and are not likely to do them again, at least not within a 5-10 years time frame. And Microsoft will not purchase Nokia.