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Kangal's Avatar
Posts: 1,789 | Thanked: 1,699 times | Joined on Mar 2010
#517
I'm so p***ed off at NOKIA. They caused themselves to die.
I'm so p****ed off at Palm. They caused themselves to die.

Both companies are so weak compared to the competition, but together they could've become the most powerful.
  • Well firstly they individually have a large patent portfolio and together they're arsenal would be large enough to not be bullied (unlike LG, HTC, Samsung etc) but potentially even bully others.
  • Secondly Nokia is the leader in hardware quality, and Palm is also excellent. Together we would see iPhone 4 workmanship in the middle-price of the market, basically causing everyone to lower their prices or step their game up = promote innovation
  • Nokia is a world renown especially in the third world countries. But they have basically no market in the Nth Americas. Palm has a good reputation too, but its limited to Nth America only. Together "The World Is Yours".
  • Palm has built a very robust os with user friendly experience to their devices. Nokia was building a flexible os with cross-compatible native apps. Basically they are Ying and Yang.
  • Both companies have big developer communities, which pale in comparison to Apple's and Google's. But together they make a modest sum. And now every oem realizes the importance of developers to their platform.
  • And I believe, had Nokia collaborated instead of HP, we'd see MeeGo released possibly before WP7. And seeing the growth which WP7 had over this ~6months, its very limited and quite slow.
  • Basically Palm completes NOKIA, and vice versa.

I think the adoption rate would've been immense, not iPhone 4 rate, but certainly superior to Galaxy S sales. Which would mean MeeGo would've surpassed all ecosystems except iOS and Android... and possibly RIM (which would be overtaken soon).

I believe had NOKIA played their cards right in this volatile market; Dell, ASUS, Acer, LG, HP, ZTE would adopt MeeGo because of its advantages over Android especially in regards to patent protection. I think even later, Motorola would join, possibly even Samsung (doubtful of HTC and Sony Ericsson).

So that is a $1.5B investment they discarded, which would've have a healthy return (to power). But instead NOKIA wasted that entire year and lost ~$48B.

What do you guys think NOKIA's share value would be if my hindsight (actually was my foresight) is what had occurred?
I'm estimating an average of $10.45 compared to last weeks $5.30 share values.

Last edited by Kangal; 2011-08-22 at 12:21.