So it's like Physics in the 1930s. We knew everything, all that was left was to tie up a few loose strings...then BLAM special relativity and quantum mechanics.

The number of times an article like this has been wrong is roughly equal to the number of times it has been written. One part of the definition of "disruptive innovation" is that the current market cannot yet see it. The only thing certain about the future of any technology is that the next "big thing" won't be predicted by the mainstream or, for that matter, leaders within that particular industry. Who changed smartphones the most in the last ten years? An mp3 player company.