Thread: Let's talk Nokia stock!
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specc is offline specc
2012-07-20 , 09:04
Posts: 322 | Thanked: 218 times | Joined on Feb 2012
#1924
Originally Posted by danramos View Post
I think you forget that part of the Osborne effect is that you render your current product obsolete with the announcement of the new product. Android 2.2 still runs new applications and updates (as evidenced by the Galaxy Tab 7 I have right here running Android 2.3.5... running NEW applications that might even have features for newer devices). It's not rendered obsolete by the newer products, in the case of Android. Whereas, Windows Phone 8 applications cannot run in Windows Phone 7 and there was not upgrade path from Windows 7.5 devices which already were only JUST got released recently. Gun. Foot. Shoot-BAM!
No, I didn't forget. Again this is speculative theoretical nonsense. WP7.X users will be the majority for a long time. New apps will be written for WP7 and can also run on WP8. Gradually as the WP8 user base increases, the most advanced apps will run on WP8 exclusively. Unless the apps have HW demands that require WP8, it will make no sense for a developer to target a minority only, when he can target that minority AND the majority by creating WP7.X apps.

It is not a optimal situation, but the theoretical implications can be made to be much larger than the real life implications. Of course, the closer we get to the release of WP8, more people will hold purchasing. But this is no Osborne effect, this is only natural because people like having the newest bling.