A year old, but it seems the trend has only continued and the same points stand...

The Windows Phone Predictions that IDC, Gartner and Pyramid Research Probably Hope You’ve Forgotten
http://www.globalnerdy.com/2012/05/0...uve-forgotten/

IDC’s Prediction: Almost 6% Market Share in 2011, 21% by 2015


Gartner’s Prediction: Almost 6% in 2011, 11% in 2012, 20% by 2015


And where are we now?
Let’s now take a look at the latest comScore report, published on May 1st, 2012:


The best quote of the article:
"Simply put, it means the predictions are dead wrong — and in Pyramid Research’s case, delusional — and you’d best run away from this platform as quickly as your feet will take you. Unless there’s some massive change in Microsoft’s strategy — maybe there’ll be a Windows 8 miracle, but I wouldn’t bet on it — do not look back, just high-tail it out of there. There’s a lot of interesting stuff happening in the mobile world, but it ain’t happening in Windows Phone land."

Read the whole article, Lumiaman, if you have the guts for it.