but on the other hand I really don't know what will happen. Either Nokia will start climbing again on its own, or there will be a general stock marḱet downturn that'll ruin any chances.
If it wasn't for the recession, the decision would be really easy. All the analysts are seriously underestimating Maemo. Especially the US seems strangely fixated on S60, which is going away even on Symbian. As for NSN, new business areas like Windows laptops and Nokia Money should start compensating for its problems at some point as well, assuming they're successful.