A bit late but here's one of the bigger papers talking about the gray-market sales in china:

http://www.forbes.com/2009/11/06/iph...g-failure.html

There are more but I have a paper due tomorrow so maybe I'll post them after that. You can also google iPhone sales in China and many of the hits will have this info.

The per capita GDP for China is not a very good tool for assessing the market potential because of the income gaps, for the same reason total GDP is equally bad to use.

Sales of smartphones:

http://moconews.net/article/419-noki...rtphone-sales/

Finally, I might be wrong here but doesn't the fact tha Maemo is open-source sort of help with the property rights issue?