2010年无线互联网的视频之年!世界杯之年!

:2010 is a video Time and World Cup Time for wireless Internet

Texas Insruments has published his new prejection micro chip solution fo mobile phone.
TI DLP's Pico chipset will change the way consumers interact with their mobile devices
and home electronics, allowing them to share content and experiences with friendsand family.

As the 3G wireless network become more and more matured ,the video online
show websites such as youtube are growing fast,so the the video Time for mobile phone
industry is really coming!

The perception ability of human being body are divide to several kingds such as touch
feeling,taste feeling ,auditory feeling ,smell feeling ,vison feeling and telepathy,
but the last one is difficult to be controled and quantified .

The traditionnal communication industry focus on the auditory feeling part ,
in another word the important thing is voice phone function ,the other else is
the data business depend on the internet such as go through the word website
or short message business.I have no any interest for video phone function for
3G mobile phone ,because even you stare at the face of other guys when you have
a 3G phone call you can not get more information from their face .

But the vedio internet online show is big different ,especially for different
topics to show the content,it almost can take all the vison of real world as
the content for video.So that is the potential development for video in wireless
network Time.

Smart phone is a ideal mobile terminals ,it is the best video palying platform
in the wireless internet Time.Usually the video do not need high quality picture
and big data size ,but the impportant information is logic and direction.

For example , when you want to show a physical trial of a medical operation to
other peoples from internet , you just give them the important process information
and the audience will understand the logic and directions .To compare with the
voice phone and written word ,the video show become more easy and visualization,
and usally to do somthings is more easy than to write somthings and to talk about
some things.

The reason is that lots of people have low level langue and write ability ,but
their action ability is good .So the video is good communication way for them .

As the development of TV,the broadcasting lose its bright trend ,because TV
can transfer more content to the audience ,and the time is more convenient,
and tv is easy to be understand.

Today the wireless internet industry is very lucky ,because all the resource from
broadcasting and TV is easy to be reused.And the video record devices become
more and more cheap .Every one who have a mobile device can be a producer of video.
The same as BBS and Blog ,the quantity of intetnet articles author is growing fast.
In the future the video industry will cover all the smart phone user!

long long ago ,nokia even have used a word that connecting people.At that Time ,
nokia phone have a kind of simplify beauty .it is simple ,easy to be used,
even someone is not very clever can use nokia phone simply .The user book is
useless for lots of nokia customers .The old nokia products have a simple style
like AK47 have a simple culture ,such as nokia 3310,it have lots of defects
as very big ,very thick ,and very heavy.But the stong signal and reliability
are very good ,so in the rural area the farmers love it .

Today the design style of nokia is opposite ,cumbersome became the important
topic of nokia.All of the nokia products become difficult to be assembled ,
difficult to be tested ,and difficult to be used . when apple develop iphone
they have well learned the simple spirit of old nokia ,iphone can be only
seperated to several parts ,so that is very easy to be assembled and very easy
to be test and made .that is a easy work for Foxconn ,especially compare
with nokia projects .

Iphone is develop for used by idiot and assembled by idiot ,but who developed iphone
is not idiot.Steve is talent !If you have a look for the annual profits earned
by iphone ,and compare that with nokia ,however nokia have hunderds sizes of
LCD components and hundreds kinds of mobile phone ,but theirs profit is a joke .

What is the advantages for iphone ?it is only easy ,easy to be used ,especially
the multi-touch point technology. What is more , the strong expressive force for
music ,photos , video ,and internet.But all of those is depended on the big size
display.

So Ipad have a very big size,when Ipad get ready for sell ,it will be a slaughter
for nokia and other traditional mobile phone manufacture company .

you will find that you do not need a smart phone again,except the vioce phone function,
for the online video show ,go through internet ,Ipad will have the best expressive force .

Why you still waste money to bu a smart phone? because Ipad can not make a phone call?
That is very easy ,but it will influence the sale of iphone !Steve want sell both
iphone and ipad to the customers.

In fact ipad is a smart 3G mobile phone!Yeah,what I have said is very exactly.
To add a voice function for ipad is very easy,and the 3g time the most important
work of smart phone is go through internet ,voice function is not the most important.
If you really need vioce fuction ,a old phone of 10 yeas ago can help you .

The exactly defination of ipad is the biggest 3G smart internet mobile phone .
Its competitors are smart phone ,for the light weight,long time battery and size
you will find that ipad is a nuclear weapon prepared by Steve Jobs for
the wirless internet time ,so ipad is a big size iphone and have been locked
voice function.


Today all the loser such as Nokia ,Intel ,and Microsoft get together to against
with apple and google.They are passed time ,they are lack of idea of success .
If you want to be succeful in the new time ,you must provide some products which
is easier to be used and more opened than iphone.

What ? you afaid that customers will complain that you product is too big?
Just let them to complain!When MOTOROLA opened the first cell network in america ,
all of the customer complain that the signal is not stable and the phone is too
big and expensive!But when MOTO plan to closed the network all of them complain
more seriously.After a transfer period your customer will be used to love such kind
big size smart phone .

Maybe such kind phone is difficult to be put into pocket of jacket ,but why
not to let the fashion cloth company to modify the size of pocket ?
Or you can sell a backbag with you big phone to you customer !

Have you ever seen the brick at the roadside ?You can find that to use a hand
to pick up a brick is easy .Yeah !The size of 3G wireless internet time smart phone
should be like that ,Sony PSP is a suitable size,and it is bigger than iphone.
the bigger display size than iphone and other smart phone is more useful to play game
and video.Also you can go through internet very comfortable .

Have a look on ipad ,dear baby ,if you want to defeat apple!Firstly you must have a
big display size ,you can not be little than apple .

The enough big size display can guarantee you can play the competition with laptop,
mobile tv ,professional GPS ,and mobile handset game players.

Big is beatiful and simple is beautiful .The more big size ang easy to be used product
will be loved by the customers.Take care of what I have said ,for the next 10 years of
mobile device industry ,that is the trend!

So when look back for todays mobile device such as nokia n900 ,that is a mosquito,
especially the small LCD like a stamp .How can you go through internet ,and watch video?
If I want to buy cloth ,I want to choose vacation spot,I want search maps,or I want
share photos with my friends ,all of that need big size display!However the LCD can not
use a big size ,60 inchs is the biggest limit.

But the projection technology is coming!As Texas Instuments have published
the microchip solution for mobile phone projection function ,in the next several
years the projection technology will developing soon and the key point is the
update of optical and lense technology !

There still need some thing to open the first step of video time for wireless internet,
the most suitable one is the football World Cup in South Africa 2010,as what I haved
mentioned in <<The redemption of Nokia >>,<< Showing the Sword's Spirit 2010!>>,The economic
depression period is the golden developing time for the entertainment industry.

So you can see that the film named Avatar is so successful,the same as 1929 times ,
the Donald Duck and Mickey Mouse all born in that time .The World Cup hold in
june is the most important entertainment activities in the world ,it will have a
great influence to the world .

To watch world cup by mobile phone become possible,so which mobile phone company can
make big progress on live broadcast the video of World Cup will win the first important
battle of video 3G wireless internet time.

But please do not take any expectations with Nokia ,Nokia is a loser without any
initiative spirit! I really do not know which kind of animals right now manage
this company ,especially in china ,all the action and policy are funny and humour.

Before long nokia have signed a contract that to cooperate with a british education
company to develop the english education business on the mobile phone .

But I have never heared that company ,nokia always to wastes lot of money to do
some thing without any significance .Do all the nokia people not know that
the most successful english education company in china is New Orient ?

New Orient education is also the biggest langue education company in china .
That is very easy ,just to sign a contract and provide the live english education
video online,so nokia and new orient just follow the profict rate to earn money.

Why find a british company no one have ever heared? This project must decide by a
stupid pig!

The only great successful work of nokia in china during the 20 years is feed some
stupid pigs in a sunshine building in Bei Jing BDA!

Some thing else in 2010 is the second time Falklands War between Argentina and British,
it will become the first war live braodcast by mobile phone.What is the result?
I use one dollars to bet argentina will win!If you can not trust me ,just watch the
live broadcast on your mobile phone.

After this war broadcast by the mobile phone you will find lots of customers have
watched online video to learn news ,watch education informations ,watch films,
take daily video record ,and share video with theirs friends.Every one can be a director
and speechmaker ,your mobile phone will share your video to all of the world.

2010 is a video time for wireless internet ,South Africa World Cup is the gold key to
open this time !After that a new information revolutiona will start,especially the
data bandwith and data follow problems ,all the telecom operators will bore of the
fast increaseing data requirement is always over their network afford limit.

2010 ,the video storm will very crazy !












2010年无线互联网的视频之年!世界杯之年!


随着德州仪器推出超小型投影仪芯片,全球3G网络的逐渐成熟,以及youyube等视频在线播
放网站的方兴未艾,整个移动视频产业的爆发期已经来临.

人类的感观大致分为如下几种:触觉,味觉,听觉,嗅觉,视觉,还有生物场的精神信号感应,
不过最后一种极端难控制和量化.

而传统通信领域主要注重的是听觉,也就是语音电话功能,其次是基于互联网信息的视觉
浏览,比如短消息,浏览普通文字网页.我始终不看好视频电话,这纯属多此一举,即使你
打电话时死死的盯着对方的脸也不能得到更多有用的信息.

而视频播放则不一样,尤其是针对不同事件的具体内容,几乎可以将有形世界的任何内容
装入其中,这就是在线视频功能最大的发展潜力.

而智能手机作为理想的移动通信终端,在3G网络成熟之后无疑是视频内容的最佳播放载体.
很多时候视频并不需要过多的内容,或者超大的数据量,需要的仅仅是逻辑和方向的示意.

比如一个物理试验或者一个医疗手术过程,只要给出基本的演示流程就能使受众理解其
方法和逻辑,相对于干涩的语音电话和文字表达,有时候做比说或者写更容易.

因为很多人的语言表达能力和文字表达能力其实很一般,甚至很差,但是动手演示的能力
并不太差,视频无疑是解决这一问题的好办法.

随着电视的发展,广播的衰退也是必然,电视剧比广播能够承载更多的内容,而且时间上
更快速,理解起来也更容易.今天移动互联网产业是非常幸福的,因为传统的内容制造者
电视台,影视公司所有的资源可以无缝的继承过来.而且随着廉价拍照设备的普及,只需要
一部能够录制视频的3G手机,每一个移动终端的使用者都可能成为视频内容的生产者和
提供者,就像BBS和BLOG的发展,使通过文字来提供内容的互联网作者大量普及一样,未来
视频产业的规模几乎可以覆盖所有智能手机的使用者.

曾经的曾经,诺基亚有一句口号叫做:科技以人为本,那个时候的诺基亚产品有一种粗圹
的美,就是简单,易用,哪怕是动手能力很差的人也很容易学习使用诺基亚手机,诺基亚的
手机说明书曾经是那么没必要.那个时候的诺基亚产品像AK47一样带着一种朴实的强悍,
比如 3310在很多地方不完美,比如粗糙,笨重,但是可靠性高,信号强等等特性很好的
突出了个性.

不过今天的诺基亚正好相反,繁琐的设计,既不利于组装,也不利于测试,更不利于客户
使用,无论是软件还是硬件都是那么繁琐.而苹果IPHONE在硬件和操作界面上很好的
学习了诺基亚曾经的特性.苹果IPHONE只能分解成几个大部分,也就是说作为代工的
富士康等企业在组装IPHONE时非常容易,由于没有实体键盘,测试就更容易了.

IPHONE就是一款傻子都能使用,傻子都能制造的手机,不过策划 IPHONE的却是天才,
那就是Steve Jobs .

IPHONE有什么优势?其实就是操作简单,尤其是多点触控,再就是内容表现力强,无论是
音乐,照片,视频,还是互联网.而这一切都基于一点,那就是足够大的屏幕,而IPAD的
屏幕就更大了,IPAD真正铺货,必然是对诺基亚等传统厂商的一次大屠.杀,因为你会发现
新的智能手机似乎用处不大了,除了语音通话.因为浏览互联网,在线视频等,IPAD有着
更好的表现力.




为什么还要花大价钱买一部智能手机呢?为什么IPAD不具备通话能力?因为那将影响
IPHONE的销量,Steve Jobs的如意算盘是同时把IPHONE 和IPAD一起卖给客户.

其实IPAD就是一部手机,没错,我说的非常正确,IPAD如果想加入电话功能非常简单,
何况3G时代的手机最主要的功能是互联网功能,语音通话非常次要,如果你只需要语音,
10年前的手机也可以满足你,而不需要今天的产品.

IPAD准确的定义是限制了语音通话功能的最大的3G互联网手机,他的竞争对手还是手机.
从超强的待机能力和超轻的重量与体积上看,IPAD还是 Steve Jobs 为移动互联网时代
时代准备的杀手锏,她就是一部屏蔽了语音电话功能的特大尺寸IPHONE.

今天诺基亚,微软,英特尔等厂商之所以老气横秋,一群失败者还抱团取暖,结果注定
还是失败.原因就在于他们没有成功的基因,没有成功的思维.如果你想成功,你必须
比IPHONE更加方便使用,更加开放,能容纳更多的内容,更加简单的说你的屏幕必须足够大!

你见过路边的砖头有多大吗?你会发现一只手拿起来没问题,对3G互联网时代的手机就
应该那么大,SONY PSP的尺寸就非常合适,这个尺寸会比IPHONE大,对于视频和互联网
的浏览自然胜过IPHONE,再看看IPAD,孩子,你如果想和他竞争,一定不能比他小,至少 是
这个样子.

什么?你怕客户抗议你出的东西太大了?那就让他们去抗议吧,真正有实力的厂商只领导
潮流,MOTOROLA刚刚发明手机的时候也整天被抗议,不过当他们打算关闭手机网络的时候
受到的抗议声更大,慢慢的你的客户会习惯的,也许这么大的手机不方便塞进上衣口袋,
为什么不让时装公司加大口袋尺寸,或者干脆卖给客户一个背包呢,这很容易吗?



足够大的尺寸保证你可以和手机,移动电视,笔记本,专业GPS展开从容的竞争,大既是美,
简单既是美,越容易使用,越大的产品,越会被客户所喜欢,记住我说的话,未来的移动
通信终端世界将在至少10年中按我说的发展.

这个时候回过头来你再看看今天的终端产品,比如诺基亚N900,简直小的像只蚊子,尤其是
那邮票大小的屏幕,怎么能够让人从容不迫的浏览视频,查看网页, 完成办公任务?我想
买衣服,我想挑选度假地点,我想查看交通地图,我想和朋友分享旅行的照片,这些都需要
足够大的屏幕,当然LCD屏幕毕竟不可能做的太大,最多60英寸,再大很困难了.

但是投影技术又来了,尤其是最近德州仪器公司开发的小型投影仪芯片,估计未来手机上
投影仪迟早要达到今天办公投影仪的投影尺寸,需要的仅仅是镜头和光源技术的进步,
10年足够了,这个时代已经开启.

然而启动移动互联网视频的时代的第一把火,还需要一点素材,那就是今年的南非世界杯,我早在
<<诺基亚的救赎>>,<<亮剑2010!诺基亚!决战!我的决战!>>中提到过,经济萧条时期恰 恰是
娱乐业大发展的时期.

所以今年果然阿凡达如此轰动,就像1929年后的电影黄金时期一样,那个时候诞生了米老鼠
和唐老鸭等一大批经典的形象.而6月在南非举行的世界杯将是全球今年最大的体育活动和
娱乐活动,对世界的影响将是巨大的,而通过手机收看世界杯首次变为可能,哪个厂商能在
世界杯转播上取得巨大的成功.将为数年的发展抢得先机,这是一次无线互联网时代的排位赛,
一旦排定座次,首发位置将为今后的发展奠定巨大的优势.

然而不要指望诺基亚这样老气横秋的厂商,我始终不知道经营诺基亚的究竟是一群什么样
的生物,尤其是诺基亚中国区的政策,总是那么富有娱乐性.不久前诺基亚刚刚和英国一家
教育集团签订合作协议,用于推广在中国的外语教育业务.

但是我根本没有听说过这家公司,诺基亚经常喜欢花费大把的金钱干一些毫无意义的事情,
难道诺基亚的人不知道中国最有影响力的民营教育公司正是新东方集团, 而且是中国最大
的外语培训机构吗?很简单呀,和新东方签个协议,在线出售他的视频不就完了,还费事跑到
英国去干什么?诺基亚在中国混了20年,难道唯一的成就就是培养了一群比猪还笨的经营
者养在亦庄充满阳光的办公大楼里吗?

2010年另外一件可能推动手机视频在线业务普及的事情就是人类第一次实况转播的战争,
第二次马岛海战!你问我买大买小?我出一块钱赌阿根廷胜,不信去看你的手机上的视频
转播吧!28年前那次我不幸错过了,没办法我是在那年冬天北京的第一场雪的时候才来到
这个世界的,不过这次我应该不会错过.

等到这次战争转播完毕,很多消费者会发现身边的朋友早已经开始通过在线视频了解新闻,
看电影,甚至给自己录制视频日记来和朋友分享,每个人都可以做导演, 做演说家,你的手机
将把你的信息分享给全世界.

2010年,移动互联网的视频时代,南非世界杯无疑就是开启无线互联网时代的那把钥匙.
从此之后,新的一轮信息革命又会爆发,尤其是无线互联网的带宽和数据流量问题,运营商们
每次最头痛的就是新增的数据流量需求远远超过他们网络的承载能力,摩尔定律将再次发挥
作用,引领新的互联网时代的爆炸式增长!

2010,让暴风雨来得更猛烈些吧!