Thread: Less is more: the 200′000 apps myth
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2010-05-16 , 01:55
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#22
Originally Posted by Sopwith View Post
IMO, very soon the large number of apps for Apple's devices will become a deterrent for developers. For example, imagine the following situation: Android phones gradually take over in popularity (signs of this are already here), however there are still fewer apps for Android. A developer can reach at least as many potential customers if coding for Android, however the new app will have to compete with many more pre-existing apps at the Apple store, and will be likely to be lost in the crowd. So it would make more sense to code for Android first (or exclusively).

What I expect will happen eventually is that, as soon as certain core functionalities are provided by a few hundred apps, any additional fluff will not matter. People will get tired of it, and app stores will lose their current appeal, remaining a useful necessity but without the fierce competition we witness today.
A few reasons that Apple's AppStore is the biggest one:

1. It's the first of its kind (headstart, most well known)
2. It still has the most paying customers (payment system on hand, credit check ok, willing to part with their monies)
3. It still has the highest 'prestige' among the appstores (whatever that means)
4. It's on Steve Jobs' marketing boat. Has a much higher chance of (free) publicity than other competing app stores.

As long as these are not trumped by other app stores, then anyone making a mobile app will still -have- to consider Apple's AppStore in their target list.

PS: Stop comparing or trying to make sense of these app stores with the logic of an oss repository. They work under a different logic.
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