The '12 million' number regrettably is bogus.

11.88 million of that is new versions of fmms.



To paste something I wrote elsewhere.

While interesting, this is highly misleading.
Take - for example - fmms, though this applies for all applications, it was one I happened to have bookmarked.

http://maemo.org/download-stats/index.php?unixn...
This graph shows downloads of fmms over time.
It adds up to well over 100K downloads.

But.

fmms is a great app.
So great I've downloaded it well over a dozen times!
http://maemo.org/packages/view/fmms/ - shows several updates. Look for the 'package promoted lines' - specifically that a new version was released on the 8th, and 18th of this month.

Zoom in on the graph above on may 9th, and you see that about 2000 upgraded on the 8th, 6000 on the 9th, 3000 on the tenth, with a tail of maybe 2000 over the succeeding few days.
This is around 15000 users who upgraded when 1.03 appeared in extras-testing.

Look along to may 18th, when it was promoted to extras - and the number is perhaps 10000 'normal' users.

Then the launch of PR1.2 caused a lot of people who don't normally update to update.
The size of this spike would probably be close to the 'real' number of users of fmms.