It seems you summed the nature of the market up quite nicely. Maemo is no where near the size of any of the mobile platforms that receive flash 10 attention. Nokia would never be able to justify paying for it, lol

"like junkies people want thier hit and willing to sacrifice anything"

Sure I love the idea of an open web and would love all the technology we use to access it open source. In reality their a way too many third parties involved in every part of the internet making too much money.

Being open source will not guarantee any level of quality or customer support that Adobe offers. Sure there are some open source projects that arguable do offer these things and maybe BETTER! but they are mighty hard to establish "gnash SWF v7+ compliant" so I wont get my hopes up for an open rich media platform as great as flash anytime soon. ( Especially one with the market penetration and community flash has )