Active Topics

 


Reply
Thread Tools
Fellfrosch's Avatar
Posts: 1,092 | Thanked: 4,997 times | Joined on Dec 2009 @ beautiful cave
#131
Originally Posted by NokiaFanatic View Post
This is the end I'm afraid.

With Jolla out of capital and with no revenue in the pipeline, it's impossible for them to develop/release any kind of product. If they can't make money themselves, they will need someone else with deep pockets to come in and rescue them. To be honest, I find it very hard to believe that anyone will licence Sailfish for a fee (considering both Android and Windows Mobile are both free). I can only see two options left at this stage.

1. Jolla scale down dramatically, release Sailfish under the Apache Licence as Open Source software and rely on the community to fund/develop the OS.
2. A hardware partner without an OS to purchase Sailfish and bring it in house (e.g. emulate what LG did with WebOS).
Option 1 is an option. If it is a good one, I don't know. I think with this option Sailfish development would be quite slow.

Option 2 is as long an option as that hardware partner believes in open software and wants to release phones and not TVs. (I think it's a quite unrealistic option otherwise there would have been a manufacturer in the past who'd bought Jolla)
 
pichlo's Avatar
Posts: 6,453 | Thanked: 20,983 times | Joined on Sep 2012 @ UK
#132
Originally Posted by Copernicus View Post
Soooo... What do folks here expect to be the "next time"?
That's a very good question. It reminds me of the old Radio Yerevan joke from the Communist times of economic scarcity:
Q: "When will we have it good?"
A: "You already had!"
When Jolla started, I saw them as an alternative mobile phone manufacturer. That is how they presented themselves. That was their chance. It was a good chance. To build a consumer product that the customers would want to buy. Not a new iPhone. Not even a new Android. Too late for that. But Asha, Firefox, Tizen and Ubuntu are all proofs that there is market for alternatives.

Unfortunately, they squandered the chance multiple times. Instead of making the phone pleasant to use by fixing bugs ("dirty spot"), they went off and spent 6 months porting a Qt update that introduced the OOM issues and ultimately killed the best thing there was about the phone - performance. Instead of improving the basic functionality (another "dirty spot"), they spent another twelve months if not more fiddling with the UI. The result is the controversial 2.0 that polarized the community like nothing before.

And every time you tried to point any of that out, you were immediately stamped to the ground by the crowds of JulmaHerras shouting about how negative you are and how Holly Jolla knows best and we should leave them alone.

Well, they did it their way. Now you see the result.

(Regarding opening the OS, I absolutely share your view.)
__________________
Русский военный корабль, иди нахуй!
 

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to pichlo For This Useful Post:
ZogG's Avatar
Posts: 1,389 | Thanked: 1,857 times | Joined on Feb 2010 @ Israel
#133
Originally Posted by JulmaHerra View Post
Analyzing reasons is not "it's other's fault." If there is no demand as manufacturers don't want to risk already slim margins (as majority of them generate losses anyway) it doesn't matter if your product is good or bad anymore. Only way to succeed would be to have backing of another big corporation, which never comes without strings attached. So yes, if Jolla ends up in bankruptcy, it's their fault as that they tried to do the impossible with support from community. Lessons learned:

- you need a big partner for continued funding
- communities won't help you generate that funding
- don't even try, you will fail
- after failure you only get public shaming and ridicule even from your own community
I would only say that do not see it as white and black. There are a lot of small companies in tech who are successful. The problem of Jolla was a priorities. They went too loud but too slow. And the shaming of community was the "wake up call" first, but they ignored.
Paid apps would maybe help to keep a lot of devs from TMO which could bring more awareness of device and more devs/customers as an example.
So again, I do not think the main problem is HW problems(after all they are SW company, or am I wrong?), but strategy, communication, promises, PR, hiding things. Simple as that.

Btw community here still keeps maemo5 running. The problem is that community is not your slave and you cannot control it, it needs mutual aims and interests. But they tried to use it where they need(fanboys with PR, port things), but on other side they did not give back a lot(you need hackers, you can't limit them to specific area and close everything around, even MS gave tshirt to first person who jailbroken WP phone. A lot of big companies going that way nowdays. But if you want to do it all by yourself, you are left alone with bunch of people who just makes PR for you)
__________________
IRC nick on freenode — ZogG
imgrup
 

The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to ZogG For This Useful Post:
Copernicus's Avatar
Posts: 1,986 | Thanked: 7,698 times | Joined on Dec 2010 @ Dayton, Ohio
#134
Originally Posted by pichlo View Post
But Asha, Firefox, Tizen and Ubuntu are all proofs that there is market for alternatives.
Uhm, really? Asha is dead. Tizen just looks like Samsung trying to create a Samsung OS, which doesn't really advance the cause of alternatives in my book. Firefox looks interesting, but I have to admit I don't know much about where they are going with their OS... And I don't know just what to think about Ubuntu.

Really, I've gotta ask, _is_ there a market for alternatives?

Unfortunately, they squandered the chance multiple times. Instead of making the phone pleasant to use by fixing bugs ("dirty spot"), they went off and spent 6 months porting a Qt update that introduced the OOM issues and ultimately killed the best thing there was about the phone - performance. Instead of improving the basic functionality (another "dirty spot"), they spent another twelve months if not more fiddling with the UI. The result is the controversial 2.0 that polarized the community like nothing before.
Well, ok then -- if you can't succeed unless your OS is perfectly bug-free, feature-complete, and pleasant to use, then yeah, only mega-corps will ever succeed, because only a mega-corp can manage that kind of trick upon the initial release of an OS.

And if gaining support from "the community" requires you to make choices that the entire community supports, I've gotta say that community support is a pipe dream, because there are no choices that the entire community supports. Every decision polarizes the community.

Well, they did it their way. Now you see the result.
Yup. And the lesson that will be learned, I'm afraid, is that it is stupid to do anything like they are doing; being open just doesn't pay (in every sense of that term).
 

The Following 6 Users Say Thank You to Copernicus For This Useful Post:
Posts: 285 | Thanked: 1,900 times | Joined on Feb 2010
#135
Originally Posted by pichlo View Post
In this particular case, yes, you can say, "It's the bloody manufacturers, it's their fault, they are bloody cowards and do not want to risk anything".
Or you can say, "We have so far failed to persuade the manufactures to try our alternative, where have we made mistakes and how can we alleviate them?"

Which one is more constructive?
Um... actually I said that manufacturers are reluctant to put significant amount of funding into a platform that almost nobody has even heard about before. I also said that there are reasons for it, ie. thin margins or manufacturing business that is already not profitable even with platform that enjoys majority of market share. It's more like stating the obvious rather than finding someone to blame. Jolla did their best (and still do if the financing round is finished and story continues in some form for another year), but it takes more than just a good product to penetrate market and convince others to join. It takes resources, which Jolla has always been short of, and demand, which also doesn't seem to exist in significant numbers, and time to implement and polish everything, which in Jolla's case is also heavily dependent on continuing flow of investor money until there are enough manufacturers (like Intex) willing to place bet on Sailfish and generate income to keep Jolla afloat on income. Jolla can only do as much as their resources enable them to do and if it's not enough, only lesson to be learned is not to try again without big company backing since from the beginning instead of relying on anything community based. It can be a valuable lesson you know...
 

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to JulmaHerra For This Useful Post:
Posts: 337 | Thanked: 891 times | Joined on Jul 2012 @ Royaume Uni.
#136
Originally Posted by Copernicus View Post
I just don't see anybody examining this experience and saying: "We need to be more open! We need to get our OS onto more devices!" That just doesn't work. It'll be the opposite -- "We need to tie our software more closely to our hardware!" I mean, Apple certainly isn't hurting by following this strategy. I'm guessing Android itself will be slowly retreating, as more manufacturers switch to OSs built totally in-house...
The future is actually more bleak than that. I think people in mobile will be saying, "We've had Symbian, Windows Mobile, Windows Phone, Windows 10, Firefox OS, Blackberry 7, Meego, Blackberry 10, WebOS, Sailfish, Ubuntu, Tizen, Bada. We've had all these OS's and they've all been crushed and lost their owners billions of Dollars collectively". Instead of asking, "Do we need to be more open?", they'll probably be saying "If we get involved in another mobile OS, we're going to lose million of Dollars".

At this stage, it's impossible for any incumbent to come in and displace Google or Apple. Microsoft spent tens of billions of Dollars to try and promote Windows for mobiles and have gotten nowhere. Did Microsoft not try hard enough? Clearly they tried very hard. Did Microsoft spend the money necessary? Yes they did, big time. Did Microsoft try to bring developers on board? Yes, they spent a fortune on porting/community efforts. Did Microsoft find a good partner? Yes, they partnered with the best mobile phone maker out there (Nokia). Did Microsoft deliver a good OS? Yes, it's certainly no worse than Android/Ios. If Microsoft can fail with a pretty decent product and all their resources - there is no hope for smaller players.
 

The Following 8 Users Say Thank You to NokiaFanatic For This Useful Post:
Copernicus's Avatar
Posts: 1,986 | Thanked: 7,698 times | Joined on Dec 2010 @ Dayton, Ohio
#137
Originally Posted by ZogG View Post
Btw community here still keeps maemo5 running.
Um, no. Maemo5 is dead. The N900 was the only device that ever ran the OS, and the only device that ever will. Even the Neo900 (assuming it is ever produced) will be running a different OS; compatible with Maemo perhaps, but not the same.

At best, you can say that the community here is performing life-support on the failing body of Maemo. But this OS is never going to make it onto any other hardware platform.

The problem is that community is not your slave and you cannot control it, it needs mutual aims and interests.
So, you think the community is ever going to get a better deal than they were getting from Jolla? I sincerely doubt it...
 

The Following 6 Users Say Thank You to Copernicus For This Useful Post:
marxian's Avatar
Posts: 2,448 | Thanked: 9,523 times | Joined on Aug 2010 @ Wigan, UK
#138
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwVNuyfhF0Q
__________________
'Men of high position are allowed, by a special act of grace, to accomodate their reasoning to the answer they need. Logic is only required in those of lesser rank.' - J K Galbraith

My website

GitHub
 

The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to marxian For This Useful Post:
Posts: 285 | Thanked: 1,900 times | Joined on Feb 2010
#139
Originally Posted by ZogG View Post
I would only say that do not see it as white and black. There are a lot of small companies in tech who are successful. The problem of Jolla was a priorities.
Problem of Jolla was that they tried to compete in already filled and highly competitive market against manufacturers that for some reason have been willing to dump products into market at loss and against OS's that have been developed for far longer and that have far more resources and power behind them. Small tech companies are usually competitive in only small niches, which obviously doesn't exist in mobile devices.

Btw community here still keeps maemo5 running.
Community by itself could never create maemo5, they only try to keep alive something that was mostly created with Nokia's funds in Nokia's project. There will be no successor, no new devices and no future for maemo.

The problem is that community is not your slave and you cannot control it, it needs mutual aims and interests.
Communities are also very prone to petty infighting that doesn't get anything done without either strong and centralized leadership or project management and development run by some corporation. This is actually what underlines my points: if you don't have strong backing from a big company to fund all the community-fun, you will not get anywhere.
 

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to JulmaHerra For This Useful Post:
Posts: 435 | Thanked: 1,599 times | Joined on Dec 2010
#140
 

The Following User Says Thank You to tommo For This Useful Post:
Reply


 
Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 17:10.