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Posts: 286 | Thanked: 259 times | Joined on Jan 2006 @ Cambridge, England
#151
Originally Posted by Crashdamage View Post
Considering the above and that they now have one of their own at the top of power at Nokia, what do you think M$ would be willing to do to get WinPhone 7 as the OS on a worldwide market as huge as Nokia's? To deliver Windows gaming, Exchange, Office, Bing, cloud services, etc. etc. to that market?
I'm worried too, but Nokia didn't need to get an MS exec to switch to Windows, they'd just do it if they wanted to and save the expense of changing CEO's. I'd hope Elop gets behind the Meego strategy and gives 100% to make it work. The benefit to Nokia is control over the OS, the look and feel and a chance to dominant, versus looking the same as other manufacturers devices using W7 or Andriod. If it doesn't work out in a year or two then things may change, but that was always a possibility. Meego has a chance to be big, it just needs to get out there and start selling.

Last edited by richie; 2010-09-11 at 21:04.
 

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#152
There is now way in hell Nokia would cancel/ stop/ pause the Meego push. Right now that project is at critical mass ... it is moving at its own volition. Nokia needs a hardware out for Christmas, or early next year and the N8's demand should bee waning at this stage requiring pricing incentives to keep things up. They can't afford a product drought between January and May ... if he was to scrap plans beginning on his first day ... it will take a year plus to make the product through conception to implementation especially at a big company like Nokia which has phased releases, the N8 is not that ahead of the curve to warrant consistent demand a year after release.

It is done deal, Meego is safe ... if they ousted OPK 6 months ago it would have been a different story and more uncertainty would have arisen.

What Mr. Elop has to do is control the brand ... Nokia has lost credibility, and brand integrity in the North American segment. Outlets like Eldar, Engadget, Gizmodo control the Nokia narrative in the North American market begin to change that by being more transparent share news on products early like updates and new services (no news conference hullabaloo ... just tweet it and let the Engadget's find it), find the product leaker(s), and send out completed prototypes to reviewers even if it is a shitty phone ... will teach Nokia not to release something they cannot stand behind. Integrate some Ovi services into the Android market and the Iphone market. This will enhance Ovi's presence and create transitory bridges to the Nokia world from other phones. The NFC thing I've been hearing would create Nokia money if it was sold on Apples app market, it wouldn't be much money but having Ovi plastered on it creates the awareness needed. Nokia needs to improve customer support, it needs to make it a walk in type affair, no mailing out no middle man CSR's, just walk in give it in and pick it up when it is fixed also people who will quickly check for common issues ... Nokia phone support is seriously lacking and requires drastic changes. They need to reengage disenfranchised customers to see what phones are wanted, and to keep us in the loop not on operations but more specific tangibles as to what is happening with the current phone. Mr Elop can help by changing the N900 Meego policy ... a lot of goodwill will come from that.

He needs to stick to the plan for the most part. Release a meego phone and than reshape the services around the phones.
 
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#153
Funny.. Nokia isnt doing too well lately - so they replace one incompetent idiot with another from a competing company who apparently is also failing in the mobile space!

Excellent.. very good logic, Nokia..
 

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#154
Originally Posted by Crashdamage View Post
what do you think M$ would be willing to do to get WinPhone 7 as the OS on a worldwide market as huge as Nokia's?
Some years ago I read that the "mobile" division of MS had spent $10 billion and had hardly made a dent in their market share (that was back in the PDA days when Palm was the overwhelming market leader). God knows how many more billions they have spent since and still with nothing much to show for it. Assume in a collective act of madness Nokia replaced all their phones to use WP7, does that mean WP7 will then have a huge market share? Hardly likely, Nokia will be plagued by complaints - phones crashing all the time, piss poor battery life, poor performance etc. It will simply drive more iphone and android sales.

And what is Nokia willing to do to make a major dent in the North American Market? Well, we know now at minimum giving the CEO job to a M$ lackey. Does it include WinPhone 7? Betcha it does...
When WP7's predecessor has been losing more and more market share and given MS's dismal track record why do you think using WP7 will give Nokia a bigger share of the NA market?
 

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#155
Oops. They mistakenly invited Nokia's CEO! Good thing they fixed that before it was too late.
 
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#156
Originally Posted by bchliu View Post
Funny.. Nokia isnt doing too well lately - so they replace one incompetent idiot with another from a competing company who apparently is also failing in the mobile space!

Excellent.. very good logic, Nokia..
There aren't exactly a flood of exec candidates running successful business in mobile space. Who would you have hired?
 
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#157
Originally Posted by MoJo View Post
There is now way in hell Nokia would cancel/ stop/ pause the Meego push.
They walked away from Maemo soon after putting the N900 on the market. They have nothing MeeGo for sale so at this point are less committed to MeeGo than Maemo. They can drop MeeGo now and 99% of the public would never know anything had happened.

Right now that project is at critical mass ... it is moving at its own volition. Nokia needs a hardware out for Christmas, or early next year...
N8.

...and the N8's demand should be waning at this stage requiring pricing incentives to keep things up. They can't afford a product drought between January and May...
N8 will still be relatively fresh on the market early 2011. N9 could come out early 2011 to keep something new out there.

f he was to scrap plans beginning on his first day ... it will take a year plus to make the product through conception to implementation especially at a big company like Nokia which has phased releases,
WinPhone 7 is about ready now. It could easily be on a Nokia phone in your local store in 6 months.

the N8 is not that ahead of the curve to warrant consistent demand a year after release.
It's mostly behind the curve already. Underpowered CPU, Symbian OS, etc. And overpriced. No way it will stand up against the competition for a year anyway. I don't think it was ever intended to be anything more than a stopgap, new product to tide Nokia over 'til a top-notch MeeGo - or WinPhone 7 - unit is ready.

It is done deal, Meego is safe ...
Well, it's safe in that it's an open OS that can be maintained independently by the community, much like any other Linux distro. But without the massive market power of Nokia it's success commercially is very much in question.

What Mr. Elop has to do is control the brand ... Nokia has lost credibility, and brand integrity in the North American segment.
Agreed. But again, I'm really not concerned with Nokia's success, only MeeGo's.

Integrate some Ovi services into the Android market and the Iphone market. This will enhance Ovi's presence and create transitory bridges to the Nokia world from other phones.
That's not happening, especially if Nokia goes WinPhone 7. The whole push with WinPhone 7 is to be , if anything, even more proprietary locked-in than Apple. What I can see happening is Ovi (which has been a miserable, mismanaged mess) disappearing in favor of some kind of M$/Nokia services collaboration.

He needs to stick to the plan for the most part. Release a meego phone and than reshape the services around the phones.
He should - would - if the world worked right. I'm certainly hoping I'm wrong, that he's smarter than he appears and he gets 110% behind MeeGo/Qt. The MeeGo/Qt strategy is solid. It will result in products superior to WinPhone 7 and will work given time. And supporting OSS is, in a kinda moralistic way, the Right Thing to Do.

But everything now seems to me to indicate that is not Elop or Nokia's plan. WinPhone 7 would grab NA marketshare and public awareness, and so will satisfy stockholders quicker. In the real world quick $$ usually wins out over Doing the Right Thing.
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Last edited by Crashdamage; 2010-09-12 at 11:55.
 

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#158
Originally Posted by kureyon View Post
Some years ago I read that the "mobile" division of MS had spent $10 billion and had hardly made a dent in their market share. God knows how many more billions they have spent since and still with nothing much to show for it.
They don't care. Chump change to them. M$ will gladly spend a LOT more to win the mobile market. They know that the very future of M$, say 20-30 years from now, will likely be determined by how they do in the mobile market in the next 5-10 years. They'll spend any amount, whatever it takes. And M$ is a bulldog with a collar stuffed with cash.

Assume in a collective act of madness Nokia replaced all their phones to use WP7, does that mean WP7 will then have a huge market share?
Not immediately. But they have Symbian to tide them over, same as they would if they followed through with MeeGo.

Nokia will be plagued by complaints - phones crashing all the time, piss poor battery life, poor performance etc. It will simply drive more iphone and android sales.
A poor OS didn't keep DOS/Win95-98/NT/XP/Win7 from dominating the world. The original iPhone was trash. The original G1/Android 1.0 was a cripple. Both sold like crazy anyway. People are stupid and will put up with a lot of crap.

When WP7's predecessor has been losing more and more market share and given MS's dismal track record why do you think using WP7 will give Nokia a bigger share of the NA market?
It's M$ Windows. Name recognition. Blind, stupid acceptance in NA of anything M$. And Nokia's NA marketshare is so small it can only go up.
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#159
Originally Posted by Crashdamage View Post
And M$ is a bulldog with a collar stuffed with cash.
They may have to give the phones away and pay people cash each time they make a call to encourage people to use them.

Not immediately. But they have Symbian to tide them over, same as they would if they followed through with MeeGo.
People like winmobile less than they like Symbian.

A poor OS didn't keep DOS/Win95-98/NT/XP/Win7 from dominating the world. ... People are stupid and will put up with a lot of crap.
There are various reasons for the widespread use of dos/win. Some keywords: standardisation, compatibility, ruthless stamping out of competition using illegal means, bribing/blackmailing of manufacturers, abusing monopoly, etc.

It's M$ Windows. Name recognition.
Exactly - avoid like the plague.
Blind, stupid acceptance in NA of anything M$.
Only corporates with legacy baggage infrastructure will be buying WP7 phonesin any substantial quantities. You really think consumers will rush to buy WP7 phones when one of its boasted features is being "an ad serving machine"?

And Nokia's NA marketshare is so small it can only go up.
In the long term the importance of the NA market (for any good/services) will continue to shrink. Since Nokia has historically not done well in NA anyway, the "loss" of it is no great deal.

Last edited by kureyon; 2010-09-12 at 17:35.
 
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#160
Originally Posted by Crashdamage View Post
WinPhone 7 is about ready now. It could easily be on a Nokia phone in your local store in 6 months.
Possibly, but integrating it with Ovi software and services would not be completed in that time. WinPhone 7 lacks the Qt, which is chosen by Nokia long time ago to be the development environment for their devices and bringing such support for WinPhone won't happen in 6 months, if ever. Microsoft has it's own development tools (usually they have quite good tools) and it's not in their interest to switch over to Qt. I really don't see any good reason why Nokia would change OS at this point. Not in short term and especially not in the long term. Hiring CEO from Microsoft is not reason for such change.
 
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